{"id":5381,"date":"2026-02-23T10:54:51","date_gmt":"2026-02-23T03:54:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/onberita.com\/?p=5381"},"modified":"2026-02-23T11:02:38","modified_gmt":"2026-02-23T04:02:38","slug":"rupiah-tertekan-ketidakpastian-tarif-indo-as-begini-proyeksinya","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/onberita.com\/index.php\/2026\/02\/23\/rupiah-tertekan-ketidakpastian-tarif-indo-as-begini-proyeksinya\/","title":{"rendered":"Rupiah Tertekan Ketidakpastian Tarif Indo-AS, Begini Proyeksinya"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

On Berita \u2013 Jakarta – <\/strong>Pergerakan nilai tukar rupiah pada awal pekan ini masih berada dalam tekanan dinamika global, khususnya terkait ketidakpastian kebijakan tarif antara Indonesia dan Amerika Serikat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sejumlah sentimen eksternal dan domestik diperkirakan akan memengaruhi arah rupiah terhadap dolar AS dalam jangka pendek.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Berdasarkan data pasar terakhir, rupiah berada di kisaran Rp16.865 per dolar AS, sementara indeks dolar AS (DXY) bertengger di level 97,789.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Posisi ini mencerminkan dolar yang relatif stabil di tengah sikap hati-hati bank sentral Amerika Serikat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Risalah rapat Januari Federal Open Market Committee menunjukkan peluang pemangkasan suku bunga dalam waktu dekat masih terbatas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sikap tersebut membuat imbal hasil obligasi pemerintah AS tetap menarik bagi investor global, sehingga menopang permintaan terhadap dolar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Foto Presiden Indonesia Prabowo Subianto dan Presiden Amerika Donald Trump Dalam Forum. Sumber Foto Sosial Media Instagram @KemensetnegRI<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Selain itu, data ekonomi AS seperti penurunan klaim pengangguran dan membaiknya survei manufaktur turut memperkuat sentimen positif terhadap mata uang Negeri Paman Sam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Di sisi lain, hubungan dagang Indonesia-AS justru menghadirkan ketidakpastian baru.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Presiden Prabowo Subianto dan Presiden Donald Trump sebelumnya menandatangani kesepakatan perdagangan resiprokal bertajuk Implementation of the Agreement toward New Golden Age US\u2013Indonesia Alliance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Perjanjian tersebut mencakup berbagai nota kesepahaman, pembentukan dewan ekonomi permanen, serta komitmen penurunan tarif dan kerja sama strategis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Namun, dinamika berubah setelah Supreme Court of the United States menyatakan kebijakan tarif darurat tidak sah secara hukum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Alih-alih meredakan ketegangan, Trump justru menaikkan tarif impor global menjadi 15 persen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Langkah ini meningkatkan ketidakpastian kebijakan perdagangan dan memicu volatilitas di pasar keuangan global.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bagi rupiah, kondisi tersebut menciptakan tekanan ganda. Pertama, penguatan dolar akibat faktor moneter AS.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kedua, sentimen risiko (risk-off) akibat ketidakpastian perdagangan yang mendorong investor global cenderung mencari aset safe haven.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dalam situasi seperti ini, mata uang negara berkembang, termasuk rupiah, biasanya mengalami fluktuasi lebih tajam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Meski demikian, pemerintah Indonesia menyatakan kesiapan menghadapi berbagai kemungkinan kebijakan tarif tersebut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pelaku pasar kini juga menantikan perkembangan fiskal domestik, termasuk kondisi APBN, sebagai indikator daya tahan ekonomi nasional.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dalam jangka pendek, arah rupiah diperkirakan masih akan bergerak volatil mengikuti sentimen global, khususnya perkembangan kebijakan tarif AS serta respons pasar terhadap dinamika geopolitik dan moneter internasional.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

#OnBerita #NilaiTukarRupiah #TarifAS #PerdaganganGlobal #RupiahHariIni #EkonomiIndonesia #DolarAS<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Penulis : Rizky Saptanugraha<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Editor : Ali Ramadhan<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Rupiah Tertekan Ketidakpastian Tarif Indo-AS, Begini Proyeksinya<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":5382,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[280,3554,2656,411,3556,3559,3557,573,20,3558,3555],"class_list":["post-5381","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-apbn","tag-dolar-as","tag-donald-trump","tag-ekonomi-global","tag-federal-reserve","tag-fomc","tag-indonesia-as","tag-prabowo-subianto","tag-rupiah","tag-supreme-court-as","tag-tarif-perdagangan"],"yoast_head":"\nRupiah Tertekan Ketidakpastian Tarif Indo-AS, Begini Proyeksinya - On Berita<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Pergerakan nilai tukar rupiah pada awal pekan ini masih berada dalam tekanan dinamika global, khususnya terkait ketidakpastian kebijakan tarif antara Indonesia dan Amerika Serikat.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/onberita.com\/index.php\/2026\/02\/23\/rupiah-tertekan-ketidakpastian-tarif-indo-as-begini-proyeksinya\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"id_ID\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Rupiah Tertekan Ketidakpastian Tarif Indo-AS, Begini Proyeksinya - 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